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Champions League Final Betting Preview


With Bayern Munich taking on Chelsea in their own Allianz Arena tomorrow, Saturday’s UEFA Champions League final promises to be an explosive clash between two teams who have been arguably the most entertaining performers in the competition so far.

However, with so much at stake – especially for Chelsea, whose qualification for next year’s competition hinges on them winning in the renamed Fußball Arena München – artistry will perhaps be forced to make way for industry as both teams battle for club football’s most coveted prize.

With a makeshift Chelsea backline being forced to weather the attack of a Bayern team whose pride will no doubt still be stinging from their recent 5-2 cup final defeat to Borussia Dortmund, there will be plenty to consider and is thankfully on hand to mull it all over.

Result Betting

In spite of their suspensions in key areas – with Ramires, Branislav Ivanovic, Raul Meireles and captain John Terry all out – the 7/2 price on Chelsea seems a curious one given the nature of their performances in the competition this season and their ruthless progression into Saturday’s final.

While there can be no dispute that with Chelsea’s depleted team and Bayern having home advantage, the German’s are indeed the favourites, giving a team as strong as Chelsea better than 3-to-1 in a one-off game does seem a little wide of the mark and will no doubt attract some interest.

Bayern, for their part, go into the game heavily backed as 5/6 favourites and such skinny odds are unlikely to attract any significant investment, but if you do fancy the German’s you can get a much-improved 9/2 on them beating Robert Di Matteo’s men by a two-goal margin.

First Scorer

There’s an obvious favourite in this market, with Bayern marksman Mario Gomez priced at 9/2 to be first to find the back of the net. The big German has an unbelievable record of 12 goals in 10 Champions League starts this season and looks a more than worthy bet at fairly reasonable odds.

Behind him, the bookies have favoured Arjen Robben at 6/1 ahead of Didier Drogba at 7/1, but if the Blues approach this game as they did against Napoli earlier in the competition – that is to say, starting like a runaway train – they may snaffle and early goal and Ivorian looks the man most likely.

Of course, the surprise package here could be a rejuvenated Fernando Torres at 9/1. While the Germans will no doubt expect Drogba to start up front on his own, Di Matteo could surprise them by including the Spaniard in his starting line-up and Torres’ pace could pose problems for Daniel Van Buyten, who has been out since January but is expected to replace the suspended Holger Badstuber.

Other Options

As mentioned in the previous section, Chelsea’s approach in the early stages of Saturday’s game could well be to surprise Bayern with an ultra-attacking strategy, catching the Germans off guard and poaching a goal that will give them something to defend – as they did so well against Barcelona.

If this does prove to be the case, there must be some value in backing the huge 25/1 on Chelsea HT/Bayern FT within the 90 minutes as if they do go in front and attempt to protect their lead, a makeshift Chelsea defence will surely eventually succumb to the likes of Robben and Franck Ribery.

By this token, you can also logically back both teams to score in the game, which at least gives some insurance at Evens if things don’t pan out exactly as planned, while if we’re being overly stereotypical, 12/1 on Bayern Munich winning the final on penalties looks too perfect to ignore.


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